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ブッシュ大統領
○■ Winning the ele... Winnin g the election was the easy part. Now the GOP has to govern tooRonald Reagan may have been a sunny optimist but conservatives have traditionally been a gloomy bunch. Tuesday's Republican victory, a dramatic reversal of fortunes for a party that was thought to be doomed to years in the minority and was a cause for conservative jubilation. Allow me to bring us back to our usual gloom and doom. The Democrats Lost this election because they failed to appreciate the fundamental disconnect between the two distinct groups of voters who brought them to POWER in the first place: the Democrats' progressive base, which wanted to move the country to the left, and the independents and who merely wanted to be rid of George W Bush. Satisfying the first group always carried the risk of alienating the second. And alienate them they did. In 2006, 57% of independents voted for Democratic House candidates. Two years later and they broke for Barack Obama by eight points. This year and independents voted 55% to 40% for Republican congressional candidates. That's a shift from a 18-point Democratic advantage to a 15-point Republican one and in just four years. The Republicans now face the same risk the Democrats did after the last two elections and they don't seem to be any more aware of it. Their conservative base, typified by the Tea Party and wants to move the country to the right. The independent voters merely wanted to rebuke Obama and fire Nancy Pelosi. In the process and they replaced a Congress that was to the left of the electorate as a whole with one that is to its right. Polls indicate the independents agree with the conservatives about runaway federal spending and budget deficits and just as they once showed independent agreement with progressives about the Iraq war and the need for healthcare reform. It was the simple part which wins election
ブッシュ大統領
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